Predicting American Idol
this season has been nearly impossible.
Jessica Sanchez almost went home during the Top 7 and now she's in the
finale. Colton Dixon and Skylar Laine left the competition before Hollie
Cavanagh. And despite being the judges' overall favorite, Joshua Ledet
couldn't even make it to the end.
So it's with little confidence that I predict Phillip Phillips will win American Idol
season 11, despite the fact that everyone (including Vegas oddsmakers) have been saying that since the Top 13 was first announced.Finale Recap: Phillip vs. Jessica>>Finale Interview: Top 2 on Their Journeys>>
All signs point to a P2 victory. He's never been in the bottom and, more importantly, he's a man. He's a white man from a blue collar and/or southern background, which can be said for the past FOUR Idol champions. Basically, Phillip Phillips is what you'd get if you put Scotty McCreery, Lee Dewyze, Kris Allen and David Cook into a blender.Best Performances of Season 11>>
If that's not enough, he was virtually guaranteed a victory during the final performance show when he got to sing an amazing original song, "Home," and Jessica was burdened with a song the judges absolutely hated. Is it really fair for the judges to be so critical of an original song chosen to be the first single for Jessica that she probably had very, very little say in? No, but that didn't seem to bother them.Worst Performances of Season 11>>
Basically, every single sign points to an inevitable Phillip Phillips victory before the son of a pawn shop owner wades into the Lee Dewyze land of obscurity. So why am I so uneasy about picking him?
Maybe because, as I said, this season always seems to do the opposite of what I think. All season long I've been positively puzzled as to why Jessica Sanchez has any fans. She seems incredibly stiff and robotic, but somehow people keep voting for her. My guess is that voters love an underdog, and Jessica is obviously the underdog. Perhaps the viewers get angry when the judges dare do actually critique someone and do their jobs, so the criticism of Jessica's winner's song might actually help her earn sympathy votes.
I'm sure the American Idol
producers are torn over what they want. Surely they understand that Jessica, a robotic, incredibly talented 16-year-old girl, isn't really marketable, especially when compared to a good-looking, soulful blue collar southern boy. On the other hand, having five white guys win in a row will inevitably cause a tidal wave of undeserved accusations of racism and sexism against the show (it's not Idol
's fault, it's the viewers who keep voting this way).
So one of two things will happen during the 2 hour and 7 minute American Idol
finale. Either Phillip Phillips will win as we all knew he would from the moment he walked into the audition and sang "Thriller" on the very first episode of the season. Or Jessica Sanchez will win and everyone will be left scratching their heads, wondering what the heck just happened, while the judges desperately try to take back everything bad they said about her winner's song.(Image courtesy of FOX)