The Power of Veto ceremony is more important than the nominations ceremony at this point on Big Brother 14
With only five HGs left, things become very clear, and it's just a
matter of who wins the competitions that will decide who gets evicted.SPOILER WARNING: This article contains Big Brother 14 spoilers.
Shane won the Power of Veto
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and saved himself. Danielle was nominated as a replacement.
As if Jenn didn't already know she was going to be evicted, now it's a guarantee. There's no way Shane or Dan would keep Jenn over Danielle. Yes, Danielle might be a better competitor, but let's be honest, neither of the women have played a particularly good game and neither will win the game.
With Jenn leaving, there will be 12 distinct possible outcomes regarding the final 4 HoH and PoV competitions, and it's fairly easy to make educated guesses about what the HGs would do in each scenario. Below I postulate all 12 potential outcomes, then predict who would get evicted.Dan Wins HoH, Dan Wins PoV
: Dan keeps Danielle safe. Danielle votes to evict Ian.
Dan Wins HoH, Danielle Wins PoV
: Danielle votes to evict Ian.
Dan Wins HoH, Ian Wins PoV
: Ian votes to evict Danielle.Dan Wins HoH, Shane Wins PoV
: Shane votes to evict Ian.
Danielle Wins HoH, Dan Wins PoV
: Dan votes to evict Shane.Danielle Wins HoH, Danielle Wins PoV
: Danielle keeps Dan safe. Dan votes to evict Shane.Danielle Wins HoH, Ian Wins PoV
: Ian votes to evict Shane.Danielle Wins HoH, Shane Wins PoV
: Shane votes to evict Ian.Shane Wins HoH, Dan Wins PoV
: Dan votes to evict Ian.Shane Wins HoH, Danielle Wins PoV
: Danielle votes to evict Ian.Shane Wins HoH, Ian Wins PoV
: Ian votes to evict Danielle.Shane Wins HoH, Shane Wins PoV
: Shane keeps Danielle safe. Danielle votes to evict Ian.
The only ones I'm slightly wary of involve Dan. I feel like he'd definitely keep Danielle over Ian (knowing that he couldn't beat Ian in the finale), but would he choose Ian over Shane? I think so, just because that would ensure he gets the finale no matter what.
Assuming all of my predictions are accurate, this means Dan is GUARANTEED a spot in the final 3 (that's a testament to the relationships he has built). It also means there's more than a 50 percent chance Ian gets evicted, a 25 percent chance that Shane gets evicted and a 1/6 chance of Danielle getting evicted.
Ironically for Shane, the only way he could get evicted is if Danielle wins the HoH, something he'd probably be happy about.
How do you feel about the 12 possible scenarios? Do you agree with my analysis? Are you crossing your fingers for the unlikeliest possibility of Danielle getting evicted, or would you rather see Ian or Shane go? And do you think there's any conceivable way Dan doesn't make the finale again?(Image courtesy of CBS)