2013 Emmy Predictions: What Dramas Will Be Nominated?
Tuesday, July 16, 2013
The 2013 Emmy Award nominations will be announced Thursday, July 18 at 5:35am PT. They will be revealed by House of Cards star Kata Mara and Breaking Bad's Aaron Paul.
we find out who will compete, I'm taking a look at what you might
expect to see Thursday morning. What old favorites can bank on
nominations? What new shows have a shot?
First up, drama!
The Usual Cable Favorites
At the Emmys, you can bet on cable titans like Mad Men and Breaking Bad to score a ton of nominations, for Series and for their stars. Boardwalk Empire, Game of Thrones and Downton Abbey are also strong contenders for a slew of nominations. Expect to hear all of them mentioned just like last year.
A Sophomore Slump for Homeland?
One of the bigger questions on the drama side is around Homeland. It won top honors last year, but most critics agree the second season turned soapier and wasn't quite as good. Claire Danes will certainly return as a nominee, but will it still come back for a second nomination as Outstanding Drama Series? Before you jump to conclusions, remember that Lost won for its first season and wasn't even nominated for its second. And after 24 won for season 5, it failed to return to the category again.
Can Netflix Join the Party?
The single biggest question about this year's Emmy nominations is what kind of impact Netflix will make. Can shows that aren't actually on traditional TV break into the major races? The drama side has a huge opportunity with House of Cards starring Kevin Spacey. If voters buy into Netflix's campaign, the show could easily score nominations for Series, Lead Actor and Supporting Actor (Corey Stoll). Or the old-school bloc of Emmy voters might ignore this new medium.
Hope for the Broadcast Networks?
Last year The Good Wife was the only drama series on a broadcast network to score a major Emmy nomination (I'm not even gonna bother counting Kathy Bates for Harry's Law). Once again The Good Wife is the best bet for the broadcast networks, but there could be new hopes thanks to strong female performances.
Monica Potter on NBC's Parenthood, Connie Britton on ABC's Nashville and maybe even Kerry Washington on ABC's Scandal could sneak into the races. It could certainly be a nice change of pace from the past, as last year only four of the 30 major drama nominees were from the broadcast networks.
Every year there are one or two big surprises when the Emmy nominations come out. Last year, for instance, it was the massive success of Downton Abbey, scoring six acting nominations. The best bet for a shocking and pleasant nomination is probably Tatiana Maslany for Lead Actress in Orphan Black. The BBC America series where she plays multiple clones has become a hit phenomenon and the actress has already picked up a Critics Choice Award for the role.
More New Dramas
Aside from the ones I've already mentioned (House of Cards, Nashville, Orphan Black), there are several new dramas that could make a splash in the acting categories. A&E's Bates Motel should score a nomination for the brilliant Vera Farmiga. HBO's The Newsroom has a stellar pedigree with stars Jeff Daniels and Sam Waterston while FX's The Americans is a big contender for leads Keri Russell and Matthew Rhys and supporting actor Noah Emmerich.
What are you hoping to see from the drama Emmy nominees this year? Are you rooting for Netflix to dominate? Will you jump for joy if Orphan Black or Parenthood crack the big races? Will Mad Men or Downton Abbey see a decline in their big hauls with so much fresh blood?
(Image courtesy of Showtime)