The Big Brother 15
premiere is almost here and with a cast of 16 brand-new houseguests and new twists on the horizon, anything is possible. Videos: Meet the Men>>
Videos: Meet the Women>>
It's never easy to guess how the season will play out before we even see them enter the house, but it's still fun to try and pick a winner. After 14 seasons, certain trends and patterns have emerged, so based on all of that information and what little we know about the new HGs, here are my predictions for who will win Big Brother 15
.No Minorities or Older People
I'm not a big fan of this aspect of Big Brother
, but historically speaking, minorities and older houseguests don't do so well. In the 14-season history of Big Brother
in the United States, there has only been one non-Caucasian winner, season 4's Jun. In fact, minorities, including openly gay contestants, have done quite poorly on the show. People can debate the reasons for this, but it's just the way it is. The same goes for older people as Mike "Boogie" Malin from All-Stars
and Evel Dick Donato from Big Brother 8
are the only winners over 30. The average age for winners is 27.
With these caveats in mind, I can instantly eliminate Howard, Candice, Helen, Andy, Spencer and GinaMarie from my list of potential winners.Who Else Can I Eliminate?
Looking through the 10 remaining HGs, there are a number I'm going to dismiss right away. David, the surfer dude, won't be taken seriously and probably has no chance. The same goes for Judd, the rambling Tennessee boy. Amanda, the real estate agent who moved to Florida from New York, seems a little too aggressive. The same goes for Kaitlin, the Minnesota bartender, because we've learned that tough women don't do so well.
Nick comes across as way too eager and excitable, always a dangerous combination. McCrae will most likely suffer from Ian Terry comparisons. It's usually a good bet that the same type of person won't win twice in a row because all of the HGs will see him as the biggest threat. Finally, Elissa's Rachel Reilly connection will make her a target for the entire season. So that's seven more down.My Top 3 Picks
Keep in mind this isn't necessarily who I think will be in the finale, just the HGs who I think have the best chance of winning.
Aaryn and Jessie are both young Texas girls which will undoubtedly make them sweet and adorable. The southern charmer typically does quite well, whether it's Jordan Lloyd or Britney Haynes. If they can keep their eyes on the prize and not the guys, they could be serious competition.
That leaves Jeremy, a third Texan who seems to be athletic enough to win challenges but charming enough not to be a huge threat (see Hayden Moss). Also, he seems like the kind of guy who the other guys will love and want to work with and who the ladies will want to align themselves with.Who Will Win?
Despite the fact that the last five seasons have alternated winners between men and women (meaning this year is a woman's turn), I'm going to say that Jeremy McGuire will win Big Brother 15
. I see multiple paths to victory for him, whether it's forming a Friday Night Lights
-style Texas Forever alliance with Aaryn and Jessie (with Jessie as Lyla, Aaryn as Tyra and Jeremy as Tim Riggins) or making a bros alliance with Nick and maybe McCrae, Jeremy strikes me as the kind of person people will want in their alliances.
What do you think of the Big Brother 15
HGs? Will the winner be from Texas? Will history be defeated as another minority finally wins the big prize? Make your pick now!Big Brother 15
premieres Wednesday at 8pm on CBS, with additional episodes Sundays at 8pm and Tuesdays at 9pm.
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(Image courtesy of CBS)