After tonight's Big Brother episode, there will be four houseguests left.  If you've been paying attention to the live feeds (or simply watching Big Brother), you probably have a good idea of who will be bounced at tonight's live eviction episode.  That being the case, it seemed like a good time to look at how the final jury vote might shake out in a few different final two scenarios.  Of course, this is enormously speculative, but it also gives us a good idea where the favorites might stand in a final jury vote on Big Brother 10. 

MINOR, SPECULATIVE SPOILERS BELOW!!! PROCEED AT YOUR OWN RISK!!!

I'm doing this exercise under the assumption that both Renny will be evicted tonight and Jerry will follow her to the jury house next week.  Jerry will have to win the Power of Veto competition to keep himself in the game, and the chances of that are fairly low.  It wouldn't be a huge surprise if he did survive, but the smart money is on the Colonel being the next one evicted.


Jury Members:

Libra, April, Michelle, Ollie, Renny, Jerry, Memphis/Keesha/Dan


If it's Dan versus Memphis:

Libra votes for Memphis

April votes for Memphis

Ollie votes for Memphis

Michelle votes for Memphis

Renny votes for Dan

Jerry votes for Memphis

Keesha votes for ?


Honestly, I have no idea who Keesha would vote for in this situation.  It'd probably be based on the circumstances in which she was evicted.  I can't see April or Ollie giving Dan their vote, no matter how well he pleads his case to the jury – there's just too much bitterness there.  I think Memphis wins this vote in a landslide. 


If it's Dan versus Keesha:

Libra votes for Keesha

April votes for ?

Ollie votes for ?

Michelle votes for Keesha

Renny votes for Keesha

Jerry votes for Keesha

Memphis votes for Dan


If we are to assume that April and Ollie are a joint vote, then it's a toss-up.  Ollie is going to be bitter with Dan, and April inexplicably despises Keesha.  Even so, I think Dan has burned too many bridges, and Keesha is simply more liked by a majority of these jury members. 


If it's Keesha versus Memphis:

Libra votes for Keesha

April votes for Memphis

Ollie votes for Memphis

Michelle votes for Keesha

Renny votes for Keesha

Jerry votes for Keesha

Dan votes for Memphis
 

I think Keesha also wins this one, but by a narrow margin. 


What it's going to come down to, in the case Dan makes it to the final two, is if he can make a convincing argument for his actions inside the house.  Dan was the undisputed mastermind this season, and if he can play up the fact that he was a puppet-master throughout the season and was far and away the best player in the game, he could sway almost anyone's vote.  It's all going to depend on how bitter the jury house is towards him.  The jury members could easily be working themselves into a lather right now about Dan, and how under-handed he's been.  Surprisingly, I think Keesha might be the front-runner to win the $500,000 if she makes the final two.  She might not deserve it over someone like Dan, or even Memphis, but you can't accuse her of playing a poor game, not when she's made it as far as she has.


-Oscar Dahl, BuddyTV Senior Writer
(Image Courtesy of BigBrotherCaps.com)